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Even though we are not out of the woods with global geopolitical tensions and recessionary fears, the tides seem to be turning for the better.Īlso read - Paytm Q1 Result | Consolidated loss widens to Rs 645 crore, revenue up 89% YoY Markets work on expectations, and with commodity prices cooling off and global inflation contracting, equity investors are buying on the expectation of an economic recovery. The predictions by RBI are cautious, and maybe they could have been brought down a bit, but we might see crude prices recent fall in global commodity prices in winter, and these numbers are more suitable.ĭo you still doubt the current market rally that has taken the Nifty to a three-month high? Can the Nifty be able to reclaim its record high by December 2022? The RBI has maintained the inflation projection at 6.7 percent for FY23, with expectations of 6 percent in Q4FY23 and 5 percent in Q1FY24. The RBI has acknowledged the recent fall in global commodity prices, but they have not brought down their inflation projections yet. If things start cooling off in the US, we could see a pause in Indian rate hikes, but otherwise, we could see the hikes continue.Īlso read - RBI Policy: Bankers expect up to 50 bps hike in lending rates after RBI repo rate hike fintechs' scrutiny to riseĪfter the policy, do you think the RBI is looking less worried about inflation risk now especially following the decline in commodity prices? So my projection here will also depend on the US inflation data and the US Fed actions.
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The rates have now reached the pre-pandemic levels, and the RBI governor has said that further actions will be data-dependent. While the economic scenario has improved with the easing of crude prices and the peaking of inflation numbers, the RBI is cautious of the global macro conditions hampering the growth in emerging markets and has tried to bridge the interest rate differential with the US market. The RBI has taken a prudent stand of erring on the side of caution by hiking the interest rates by 50 bps and maintaining their stance of withdrawal of accommodation. Unlocking opportunities in Metal and Miningĭaily Voice | Sonam Srivastava of Wright Research advises caution on eMudhra IPO, expects tepid list.Life Insurance Made Simple Pharma Industry Conclave.
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